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A machine learning framework for interpretable predictions in patient pathways: The case of predicting ICU admission for patients with symptoms of sepsis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Proactive analysis of patient pathways helps healthcare providers anticipate treatment-related risks, identify outcomes, and allocate resources. Machine learning (ML) can leverage a patient's complete health history to make informed decisions about future events. However, previous work has mostly relied on so-called black-box models, which are unintelligible to humans, making it difficult for clinicians to apply such models. Our work introduces PatWay-Net, an ML framework designed for interpretable predictions of admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) for patients with symptoms of sepsis. We propose a novel type of recurrent neural network and combine it with multi-layer perceptrons to process the patient pathways and produce predictive yet interpretable results. We demonstrate its utility through a comprehensive dashboard that visualizes patient health trajectories, predictive outcomes, and associated risks. Our evaluation includes both predictive performance - where PatWay-Net outperforms standard models such as decision trees, random forests, and gradient-boosted decision trees - and clinical utility, validated through structured interviews with clinicians. By providing improved predictive accuracy along with interpretable and actionable insights, PatWay-Net serves as a valuable tool for healthcare decision support in the critical case of patients with symptoms of sepsis.


Framework based on complex networks to model and mine patient pathways

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The automatic discovery of a model to represent the history of encounters of a group of patients with the healthcare system -- the so-called "pathway of patients" -- is a new field of research that supports clinical and organisational decisions to improve the quality and efficiency of the treatment provided. The pathways of patients with chronic conditions tend to vary significantly from one person to another, have repetitive tasks, and demand the analysis of multiple perspectives (interventions, diagnoses, medical specialities, among others) influencing the results. Therefore, modelling and mining those pathways is still a challenging task. In this work, we propose a framework comprising: (i) a pathway model based on a multi-aspect graph, (ii) a novel dissimilarity measurement to compare pathways taking the elapsed time into account, and (iii) a mining method based on traditional centrality measures to discover the most relevant steps of the pathways. We evaluated the framework using the study cases of pregnancy and diabetes, which revealed its usefulness in finding clusters of similar pathways, representing them in an easy-to-interpret way, and highlighting the most significant patterns according to multiple perspectives.


Unlocking the full potential of healthcare with artificial intelligence - Amaris Consulting

#artificialintelligence

As the amount of available real-world data continues to increase, sophisticated methods to analyze large quantities of healthcare data are gaining traction, paving the way for personalized care and treatments. What are these innovative methods, how are they used, and why go beyond traditional data analysis techniques? Let's begin by defining some key terms that are frequently used to analyze real-world data. Artificial Intelligence (AI) covers a wide range of processes that allow computers to perform tasks that generally require human intelligence, such as visual perception, decision-making, and speech recognition. Machine learning (ML) is a subset of AI. It refers to algorithms that are able to make predictions or decisions with ever-increasing accuracy through experience and data analysis.